[47][48], The following table displays members included in the NRCC's Patriot Program for the 2022 election cycle. File history. Given the standard error of about 10 seats for the House forecast and three seats for the Senate model, however, the safest conclusion would be that the balance of power in both chambers would probably be very close. There were three vacancies. Size of this PNG preview of this SVG file: 424 600 pixels. [42] As of June 9, 2022, the NRCC listed 75 districts on its target district list. Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Forty-nine representatives did not seek re-election to their U.S. House seats (not including those who left office early): General elections are often the focal point of election-year media coverage as they determine control of elected offices up and down the ballot. Louisiana primaries are held on Election Day. 2024 House Interactive Map 2024 Pundit Forecasts 2022 House Polls 2022 House Simulation View Your 2022 District 2022 House Retirements 2022 House Election Results. In the 2014 primary for Virginia's 7th Congressional District, House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R), ranked behind only then-Speaker John Boehner (R) in Republican House leadership, was defeated by economics professor Dave Brat (R). The map below shows how each 2022 U.S. House district would have voted in the 2020 presidential election. The latest results and live updates on the 2022 midterm House of Representatives elections by state. Taylor ran in the Republican primary on March 1, 2022, and advanced to the primary runoff. An even, 50-50 split of the Toss Up districts would translate to a 17-seat Republican gain. In 2022, Sablan is running as a Democrat. Quebec Election 2022 Date: October 3rd, 2022. Table 2 displays the results of regression analyses of House and Senate seat change in midterm elections between 1946 and 2018. We have several rating changes this week in House and gubernatorial races, and we also wanted to update our thinking on the Senate. Governor Andy Beshear (D) signed HB172 into law, extending the filing deadline for partisan candidates from January 7, 2022, to January 25, 2022. -- That said, there are also a lot of contradictory signs. Chavez-DeRemer defeated McLeod-Skinner in the general election. You can also view these ratings as a table. The Interactive and 2023 views use redistricted lines, placing incumbents where applicable . The closer fit of the data points to the prediction line in the House data is very clear from these figures. This chart lists each district that the DCCC announced it would seek to defend via the Frontline program in 2022. Use this map to create and share your own 2022 House Election forecast. Republicans formally captured 218 House seats, a delayed yet consequential finish to the 2022 midterm elections. 213 -10. Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger is seeking a third term in a district President Joe Biden won by 6 points in 2020 but now-Gov. All 435 seats were up for election. This is not surprising given the much smaller number of Senate seats contested in each election and the larger potential impact of local factors such as candidate quality and fundraising. Notice any bugs or missing polls? -- Our final House pick is 237-198 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 24 . However, our forecast does not take into account the specific seats that are on the ballot in 2022, only the numbers of Democratic and Republican seats. Ellis' calculations included blank votes in this race. Candidates running for office in open or Democratic-held House seats are eligible for the Young Guns program. Send us an email. Five of the chamber's six non-voting members were up for election as well. Find out how all this works in our. Based on the Senate results, a one-point increase or decrease in the generic ballot margin for the presidents party would be expected to produce a swing of about 0.2 seats and every additional seat defended by the presidents party would be expected to produce a net loss of more than 0.8 seats. Ellis said that these districts, where the incumbent won re-election with less than 52 percent of the vote, could be "some of the most competitive early targets in the 2022 elections. The U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Alabama postponed the filing deadline for primary congressional candidates from January 28, 2022, to February 11, 2022. The court's order did not affect the July 22, 2022, deadline for candidates qualifying by paying the filing fee. We're tracking new legislative maps as they come out, and crunching the numbers. MONTREAL, Que. Senate Projection. In the Senate data, the point for 2002 is also well above the regression line while points for several other elections including 1962 and 1978 are also well above or below the line. [53][54], The following table displays candidates who qualified as Young Guns for the 2022 election cycle. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r

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